Its a coin flip to me who holds the belt at the end of the season, so Ill gladly take the plus money on the player with far better course history. The only thing that scares me about Justin Thomas is that his approach play in his most recent starts hasnt been up to his lofty standards. His 27 FSWA nominations lead all writers this decade and are second-most all-time. There was a world in which I considered Tom Kim as an outright pick this week. PGA Championship picks 2022: Players to Fade This Week (who will disappoint) Caddie: Jon Rahm (11-1, DraftKings) There will be testy 5- to 10-footers all week and Rahm has been shaky at. But its the site of an annual PGA Tour event, which is even better exposure to the golf world. American Express: Brian Harman. For the sake of placing a wager, every online sportsbook makes use of geolocation technology to determine your current location. The result marks Kirk's third top-three finish to begin the 2023 season. Outside of the Zurich Classic, where Grace partnered with Garrick Higgo, he hasnt threatened a top 20 in 2022. A compact and shrewd design by George C. Thomas Jr. and associate William P. Bell, Riviera features everything from a long Redan par 3 to a bunker in the middle of a green to an alternate-fairway par 4. World No. Due to the big field sizes and the four-day format, many longshots win or come close to victory on the tour. This would be his first since he claimed the 2019 Open title. Farmers: Jason Day. Bermuda: Mark Hubbard. Price range: $9,000 and above High Upside: Patrick Cantlay ($9,100 DraftKings | $11,200 FanDuel) Cantlay hasn't. One and Done Pick for WM Phoenix Open: Xander Schauffele. Poston has sneakily been really good at this tournament with three Top 26 finishes in his last four starts. betting. Mayo: Tommy Fleetwood (+550, DraftKings) The irons arent back to elite levels, but he hasnt dropped strokes to the field in a PGA Tour event since the 2022 API, a tournament where he still finished T-20. Hes trending toward another victory. The 2021 Valspar Championship field includes past winners of this event who are fetching long odds this week, such as Kevin Streelman (66-1), Gary Woodland (70-1), Charl Schwartzel (100-1) and. Outside of that, hes showing significant improvement across the board and playing with plenty of confidence. Hes just six starts removed from gaining nearly six strokes to the field on approach in Houston, and if he has anywhere close to that result with his elite off-the-tee game, plus his prowess on grainy Bermuda greens, he can absolutely follow Chris Kirk as back-to-back Georgia Bulldog victories. Mayo: Tommy Fleetwood (+105) over Cameron Young (DraftKings) Fleetwood has a long history of success at Bay Hill and while Cam Young looked good in his first start at API, hes been one of the worst-performing wind players in the field. Follow him on Twitter: @gdula13. I love buying in on players that are coming off a week where they gained strokes in all four major categories, which is the exact type of well-rounded approach that is extremely necessary at a course like Bay Hill. Tony Finau ($9,500 DraftKings | $11,400 FanDuel). At Sedgefield Country Club, Will Zalatoris, who finished 20th at the Rocket Mortgage Classic on July 28-August 1. Genesis Invitational DFS picks 2023: My expectations for Tiger Woods, For designated PGA Tour events to thrive, they need to lean into personalities, This player-caddie exchange at the WM Phoenix Open is the type of moment we need more of on golf broadcasts, These are the questions you should be asking yourself before buying new clubs, Xander Schauffele on the photo Patrick Cantlay will never see, his lingering back injury and why he doesn't tweet more. Safest Option: Mito Pereira ($6,500 DraftKings | $8,000 FanDuel). He has four top-25 finishes in his past five starts at the PGA Championship. About Us Humbug. Byeong Hun An (+550 = Top 20) After slotting at No. follow. Most Likely To Disappoint: Brooks Koepka ($9,000 DraftKings | $11,300 FanDuel). GOLF DIGEST MAY EARN A PORTION OF SALES FROM PRODUCTS THAT ARE PURCHASED THROUGH OUR SITE AS PART OF OUR AFFILIATE PARTNERSHIPS WITH RETAILERS. Hes also earned five top-15 finishes in 2022, so hes comfortable with his name in contention. Powers, Golf Digest: Justin Thomas (20-1, Bet365) Im normally a if you can get JT at 20-1 or better, take it) guy, but Im just not loving what were seeing from him so far this season. Latest golf news from PGA TOUR, PGA TOUR Champions, KornFerry TOUR He enters the competition ranked 27th in the FedEx Cup standings (seventh among players who have never won). Hennessey: Keith Mitchell This is a bolder call, but I can afford to be a little bold after getting a win from Chris Kirk last week. For a second straight week we have an elevated field, and now with Will Zalatoris here we have 23 of the top 25 players in the worldits only fitting that the stars have shown out in Los Angeles. The best thing about betting on golf is that there are so many ways to get involved. A significant restoration by Gil Hanse and his team a few years ago has restored fairway widths, so finding fairways wont be as essential. Jon Rahm and Rory McIlroy to finish Top 10 Parlay (+300). Below, we look at the 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational odds and make our PGA Read more on usatoday.com. Take a look at some of the most common kinds of golf wagers found in sportsbooks. Additionally, Youngs short game has been in the toilet since the calendar flipped to 2023. 4. The bettor must be 21 or older in most states, but some merely demand that they be 18 years old. He has two top-17 finishes in his past three trips to this event and is coming off a T-10 in Phoenix last week. WMPO: Collin Morikawa. 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational picks, predictions, field, odds: Golf expert fading Justin Thomas at Bay Hill. In general, we provide our Free sports picks today on time, giving you plenty of time to digest our research and get the best golf odds on our PGA picks this week. Niemann has every shot in his repertoire, which will certainly be required around Southern Hills. With just one missed cut and two finishes outside the Top 30 in a total of 15 starts abroad. A long-standing host venue on the PGA Tour, this par 70 design will welcome the top 121 players to Memphis, Tennessee, this week. With its 18th green at the base of a natural amphitheater, and its primary rough consisting of club-grabbing Kikuyu, Riviera seems tailor-made as a tournament venue. It's fair to say that LIV's numbers are on par with the first round of last week's PGA Tour event. The path to the top of the leaderboard for him is very narrow. PGA Picks This Week 2023: PGA Tour Expert Picks and Best Bets. Each of the two rivals had claimed the other was always stealing his ideas. And even on prestigious stages, such as the Masters Tournament, when players like Charl Schwartzel and Angel Cabrera won against the odds of +10000 and +12500. Zozo: Hideki Matsuyama. The fairways and greens are difficult to hit, so there'll be more of an emphasis on short game this week. You get 10% off and full access to all of our Premium PGA articles, DFS tools, and Lineup Optimizer! High Upside: Kevin Na ($6,900 DraftKings | $8,200 FanDuel). Many sportsbooks now provide a variety of live golf odds because of the proliferation of online apps. Genesis: Justin Thomas. Sentry TOC: Xander Schauffele. Sedgefield Country Club in Greensboro, NC, will host the Wyndham Classic in 2022, the final tournament before the FedEx Cup Playoffs. During that MC, he gained 2.96 strokes on approach, the 19th-best mark of anyone in the first two rounds. WM Phoenix Open Hole-in-One odds (Will someone ace the 16th hole? Houston Open: Sepp Straka. The PGA Tour and LPGA Tour announced a new mixed-team event that will debut later this year in Florida and replace the QBE Shootout. When it comes to the largest tournaments, some bookmakers give up to 8 or 10 spots. USE OF AND/OR REGISTRATION ON ANY PORTION OF THIS SITE CONSTITUTES ACCEPTANCE OF OURVISITOR AGREEMENT(UPDATED 1/6/23),PRIVACY AND COOKIES NOTICE(UPDATED 1/4/23) ANDCALIFORNIA PRIVACY NOTICE. and he won the 2022 BMW PGA Championship over Rory McIlroy and Jon Rahm, who both happen to be in the field this week. At one point in the spring, Lowry displayed some of the best golf of his career at one point, and victory seemed to be within reach. It was down 1.2 units on the week and we need a bounce back. Win. For our complete review, visit Bay Hill's Places to Play page here. Genesis: Collin Morikawa. The term futures bets refers to wagers placed on the outcome of the next season. Having returned to his alma maters home state of Texas, the 25-year-old is the clear favorite, and a win here may be just the beginning for this talented golfer. Rules Review: I thought my ball was lost and put another in play, then found my first in the hole(!) Longshot pick to win WM Phoenix Open: J.T. While he fell victim to a faulty putter in his last start, the 31-year-old has actually gained strokes putting in his past four appearances on Bermuda grass. I expect Im to miss the cut this week, which would likely be in his best interest anyway to get a couple days off before the Players Championship next week. According to fellow tour pro Xander Schauffele, yes, he most certainly does. Youll likely know pretty quickly with Kim, either hes making everything or nothing. Something clearly clicked for him at Riviera, and this is the number to cash in on. A popular way to wager on a wide range of sports, including golf, is through live betting. His floor is very high right now, and he has two runner-up finishes in his past five trips to Riviera. Sedgefield Country Club hosts the Wyndham Championship this week, where FedEx Cup playoff positions are on the line. Final Card: The Honda Classic The Press: A Golf Betting Podcast 18:35 49 . Caddie: Cameron Young (+360, DraftKings) As I said above, the course fits what he does well, and these are nice odds for someone who top-10s it a bunch (not this year, which is why its nearly 4-to-1. He has the ball-striking to put together a strong showing at Bay Hill, and while the putter is still hit-or-miss, its not nearly as bad as it used to be. Therefore, we assume no responsibility for actions taken as a result of information on this site The top 10, where the golfer is just one or two strokes away from winning, can be a predictor of future success. Ill be thrilled if he plays well, but he wont be making an appearance in my lineups. Golf betting online is a terrific way to spice up the big tournaments. WMPO: Sungjae Im. Chris Kirk has quietly been hot with a T3 finish in each of his last two starts. Although his history at Bay Hill isnt extensive, he did finish T-24 here in 2020, his lone start. Our outright panelwhich consists of a caddie reporting anonymously from the grounds at Bay Hill; Pat Mayo of DraftKings and FantasyNational.com; Brandon Gdula of numberFire/FanDuel; Rick Gehman of RickRunGood.com; Andy Lack of RRG and his Inside Golf Podcast; and your two authorsis all aboard the Willy Z train. Follow him on Twitter: @RickRunGood. For gamblers, the start of the season is a particularly popular time to wager on golf futures. He faltered and finished third but has racked up four PGA Tour wins since that disappointment. Mix in the fact hes gone fifth-eighth-15th-13th in his last four starts at API and youve got the recipe for a Florida Swing heater. The Florida Swing kicks into high gear this week as a world-class field steps foot onto Bay Hill Club & Lodge for the 2023 Arnold Palmer McIlroy, for his part, was T13 in his lone appearance here in 2021. Bay Hill Club and Lodge will once again host this great event, which will begin on Thursday morning. Not great when the conditions may call for a grinder. Safest Option: Will Zalatoris ($8,900 DraftKings | $10,700 FanDuel). Responsible Gambling (Pat Mayo also had runner-up Eric Cole as a +900 top-10 bet.) RELATED: Breaking down Tiger Woods' record at Riviera Country Club, Riviera Country Club is one of the best courses on the schedule, demanding precision from tee through green. His best finish is a T-35 at the Masters, and his metrics are so far from what we would expect. Hes also top-30 in scoring on par 3s longer than 200 yards and par-4s over 500 yards, two huge buckets here at Bay Hill. Homa was splendid in his win at TPC Potomac, battling wet and nasty conditions all week long. Houston Open: Aaron Wise. Its fun to watch golf, but its even more fun to win big when you bet on the events. RELATED:PGA Championship 2022 picks: The 13 best bets to win at Southern Hills, Most Likely To Disappoint: Webb Simpson ($7,800 DraftKings | $9,400 FanDuel). Our results with players at this years Hot List testing show that some players cant carry a 5-iron farther than they fly a 7-iron. He has +1700 PGA golf odds to win the 2022 Wyndham Championship. Hes been electric at Bay Hill, teeing it up 11 times. Mayo helped create the golf stats and research website Fantasy National along with the Race for the Mayo Cup One and Done contest. Fitzpatrick just keeps chugging along, piling up top 20s no matter where he plays. Rick Gehman is the founder of RickRunGood.com and the RickRunGood YouTube Channel, is one of the industrys leading experts on golf DFS and gambling. Sam Ryder ($6,700 DraftKings | $8,400 FanDuel). This new column, branched off from Horses For Courses, will focus on the statistical background of the PGA picks. That mental fortitude to battle his way to victory looks great on a resume next to an additional win at Riviera and another at Quail Hollow. Your sportsbooks per-place payout will vary from one book to another, so be careful to compare them before placing an each-way bet. Hes dropped strokes to the field driving and on approach in consecutive events for the first time since earning his full tour card, but the long irons have continued to be much better than the field, and while distance is always going to be lacking, his accuracy continues to be elite. 72-hole winning score: 279.5 (Par 288) In total, 27 of the top 30 players in the Official World Golf Rankings tee it up at Bay Hill. With the PGA picks this week, there could be a lot of drama on the leaderboard as well. Rick Gehman, data scientist and RickRunGood.com founder: Will Zalatoris (22-1, DraftKings) For the first time this year, Zalatoris looks like himself again. Each-way betting is quite similar to placing a bet on someone to win an event in the future. Aside from the experts below, Fantasy Insider Rob Bolton breaks down the field at this year's . SRP: $379.95 BOA; $329.95 lace HyperFlex Finely tuned Read more. USE OF AND/OR REGISTRATION ON ANY PORTION OF THIS SITE CONSTITUTES ACCEPTANCE OF OURVISITOR AGREEMENT(UPDATED 1/6/23),PRIVACY AND COOKIES NOTICE(UPDATED 1/4/23) ANDCALIFORNIA PRIVACY NOTICE. AT&T Pebble Beach: Maverick McNealy. As for Conners, hes been somewhat shockingly bad of late, most noticeably at Riviera where he lost four strokes tee-to-green, something he hasnt done since the Memorial in June of 2021. 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When comparing price and skill-set to his peers, hes the odd man out. If he can lean into either one of those talents and tap into that upside, Na could be a scary contender at Southern Hills. During that stretch, hes also gaining 0.22 strokes per round around the green, the fifth-best rate of anyone $9,000 or more. Build your customFanSided Daily email newsletter with news and analysis onAll Golf and all your favorite sports teams, TV shows, and more. I like him to contend, and this number is probably higher than it should be with Schefflers recent win and the win here last year. Depending on the sportsbook, these can be more difficult to find; nonetheless, the majority of applications feature props for at least the big competitions. Sungjae Im is one of the few players in this field who is teeing it up for the fourth week in a row. Top-10 Tony has four top-10 finishes in his past seven starts and seven top-20s in that span. Though still volatile, hes starting to get a hair more consistentposting three top-five finishes in his past eight starts. Previously, rough surrounded most greensso you faced a straightforward pitch around the greens.
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